These 4 avalanches were likely naturally triggered about a 5-7 days ago, before the last snowfall. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Jan 22, 2021
These 4 avalanches were likely naturally triggered about a 5-7 days ago, before the last snowfall. Photo: GNFAC
The 2 weak layers are a thin layer of buried surface hoar and a thick layer of sugary depth hoar. The snowpack is weak and will become quickly unstable with more snow. Photo: GNFAC
The gale-force winds last Wednesday stripped many slopes in the Buck Ridge area. The snowpack in this region remains thin. Photo: GNFAC
This avalanche likely occurred with wind-loading last weekend (5-7 days ago). Photo: GNFAC
<p>The wind is decreasing and there has not been new snow since Monday. The snow from the Bridger Range south to West Yellowstone has a weak structure. There are two layers in the snowpack to be concerned about, one thin and one thick. The thin layer is feathery crystals of surface hoar buried a foot under the surface (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/buried-surface-hoar-cooke-city"><…;). The thicker layer is sugary, weak grains at the bottom 1-2 feet of the snowpack. Both of these layers are weak and could be triggered. </p>
<p>On Monday and Tuesday snowmobilers triggered slides in Tepee Basin (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23867"><strong><u>photos and details</u></strong></a>) and Buck Ridge (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/snowmobile-triggered-avalanche-se… Yellowmule photo</u></strong></a>). And on Tuesday skiers saw a recent avalanche on the north face of Mt. Blackmore (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/slab-avalanche-mt-blackmore"><str…;). The thick layer of weak snow underlying the bottom third of the snowpack is on most slopes. The thin layer of surface hoar is not everywhere, but it’s a good idea to assume it is since we don’t know it’s exact location. This was my advice in Monday’s <a href="https://youtu.be/YzVvIsb7on4"><strong><u>video</u></strong></a> and it still holds true today. </p>
<p>These recent avalanches coupled with skiers still getting collapses/whumpfs, plus poor stability test scores, are signs of the snowpack’s chronic instability. Triggering avalanches is still possible today and the danger is rated MODERATE on all slopes.</p>
<p>The mountains around Cooke City have two weak layers to be concerned about. The first is an inch thick layer of feathery crystals (surface hoar) that is buried 12-18” deep. On Tuesday, a group of snowmobilers triggered this layer in Sheep Creek, and 2 small slides in Goose Creek broke on this layer the same day (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23857"><strong><u>details and photo</u></strong></a>). The second is a thin layer of faceted grains buried 3 feet deep. Both of these layers are scattered and not on every slope. Dave was in Cooke City on Sunday and Monday and recommends either assuming these layers are everywhere, or assessing slopes carefully by digging and testing (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-AhOAQTfkHE&list=PLXu5151nmAvQDzKmH…;, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J9oQHYge_gM"><strong><u>video</u></stro…;). Without new snow or wind-loading triggering avalanches is more difficult, but still possible. Because of buried weak layers and avalanche activity as recent as 48 hours ago, the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE on all slopes.</p>
<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>
See our education calendar for an up-to-date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events and opportunities to check out:
A snowmobiler triggered this avalanche on a wind-loaded slope in Tepee Basin on Tuesday, 1/19. No one was caught. Photo: Anon
A snowmobiler triggered this avalanche on a wind-loaded slope in Tepee Basin on Tuesday, 1/19. No one was caught. Photo: Anon
A snowmobiler triggered this avalanche on a wind-loaded slope in Tepee Basin on Tuesday, 1/19. No one was caught. Photo: Anon