GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Jan 15, 2021
<p>On Wednesday the mountains got blasted by strong wind and snowfall which resulted in many natural avalanches throughout southwest Montana (8 entries in our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><strong><u>Avalanche Activity Log</u></strong></a>). No mountain range escaped the wind: stripping the snow to dirt on some slopes (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/wind-stripped-slope-taylor-fork">…;) and making dense wind drifts on others. Surprisingly these drifts have bonded well and are not cracking or sliding. Dave was in Taylor Fork yesterday and documented 10 avalanches, most small-sized and breaking under the new snow (<a href="https://youtu.be/ZKzc9qpSNhs"><strong><u>video</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23795"><strong><u>details and photos</u></strong></a>). </p>
<p>On Tuesday, a layer of feathery <a href="https://avalanche.org/avalanche-encyclopedia/surface-hoar/"><strong><u>… hoar</u></strong></a> crystals got buried and preserved. It might have been the weak layer under the new snow in the Taylor Fork avalanches. Regardless, we know it is in all ranges but not on all slopes. It is shallowly buried and easy to look for. </p>
<p>Other avalanches involve depth hoar, the large, weak, sugary grains at the ground (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/giant-depth-hoar-throne"><strong>… of crystals</u></strong></a>). We have recorded these in almost all of our snowpits and videos. I investigated slides on this layer in Lionhead (<a href="https://youtu.be/Feyz2_4aNmU"><strong><u>video</u></strong></a>), while others saw cracking, collapsing and/or avalanche activity in the <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23789"><strong><u>S. Gallatin</u></strong></a>, <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23770"><strong><u>Madison</u></strong>…; and <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23771"><strong><u>Bridger Ranges</u></strong></a> on it. Dave and his partner backed off skiing avalanche terrain in Bacon Rind on Tuesday (<a href="https://youtu.be/XzPIY1Q1cKo"><strong><u>video</u></strong></a>) after finding this persistent weak layer. </p>
<p>There are now 2 layers in the snowpack to investigate: surface hoar near the top and depth hoar at the bottom. Follow our advice and dig, test and be conservative like Dave was in Bacon Rind. There have been many recent avalanches and triggering more is very possible. For today the avalanche danger is rated MODERATE on all slopes.</p>
<p>On Wednesday, the mountains outside Cooke City got blustery wind, snowfall, and avalanche activity up Hayden Creek (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/natural-avalanche-south-cooke"><s…;) and off the highway (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/23788"><strong><u>photos</u></strong><…;). Wind drifted snow was not reactive yesterday, which is good news. However, the snowfall buried a new weak layer of feathery surface hoar (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/21/surface-hoar-henderson-bench"><st…;) that has our full attention because it may avalanche with the next few snowstorms. Yesterday, skiers got it to break clean in their stability test. Additionally, sprinkled throughout Cooke City is a layer of weak snow buried 2-3 feet deep that is responsible for recent avalanches. We are not done looking for this layer or trusting it. Two weak layers sporadically distributed makes stability assessment complicated. Digging and searching for these weak layers is the most prudent thing to do. Skipping this step leaves you with only one viable option: avoiding avalanche terrain. For today, triggering avalanches is possible on one of these layers which points to a MODERATE avalanche danger. </p>
<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong><u>websi…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong><u>mtavalanche@gmail.com</u></str…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
See our education calendar for an up-to-date list of all local classes. Here are a few select upcoming events and opportunities to check out:
Small, natural avalanche on a wind-loaded slope in Carrot Basin in the Taylor Fork. Photo: GNFAC
Small avalanche on the Sage Basin Ridgeline in the Taylor Fork. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sat Jan 16, 2021
Natural Avalanches, Taylor Fork
There were 10 natural avalanches from Wednesday's snow and wind and event in the Taylor Fork. All were small to medium size. Many broke at the new snow interface, some broke deeper on weak facets near the ground.
70 mph gusts on Wednesday (1/13) in the Taylor Fork stripped some slopes and loaded others with fresh drifts. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Jan 15, 2021
Natural avalanches on Lightning Ridge. There were 10 natural avalanches from Wednesday's snow and wind and event in the Taylor Fork. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Jan 15, 2021
A pair of avalanches on Lightning Ridge. There were 10 natural avalanches from Wednesday's snow and wind and event in the Taylor Fork. Photo: GNFAC
Avalanche in Sunlight Basin. There were 10 natural avalanches from Wednesday's snow and wind and event in the Taylor Fork. Photo: GNFAC
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Sun Jan 17, 2021